Case studies

Illustrative examples on decarbonization measures, costs and regulations

Case Study, Regulations, FuelEU, EU ETS, IMO Net-Zero Vincent Doedee Case Study, Regulations, FuelEU, EU ETS, IMO Net-Zero Vincent Doedee

Compliance costs per mT of fuel from 2025 until 2050

Accurate assessment of marine fuel costs is becoming increasingly critical as regulatory pressure grows, especially given the recently announced IMO Net-Zero Framework. This blog uses a VLSFO-equivalent cost model to evaluate the impact of FuelEU Maritime, EU ETS, and IMO Net-Zero regulations on a wide range of fuels. By comparing fossil, bio-based, and synthetic fuels under realistic scenarios, the analysis shows that compliance costs - driven by emissions penalties and carbon pricing - are expected to exceed fuel prices by 2030 for many options.

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Case Study, Regulations, FuelEU, EU ETS Vincent Doedee Case Study, Regulations, FuelEU, EU ETS Vincent Doedee

Choosing the right fuel: a brief guide to future prices and compliance costs

This case study analyzes 10 marine fuels using an HFO-equivalent model to determine their full lifecycle costs, including fuel prices and regulatory compliance costs, from 2025 to 2050. The results highlight a critical tipping point in 2040, driven by the FuelEU Maritime regulation increasing carbon intensity reduction targets sharply from 14.5% to 31%. This blog provides shipowners with guidance on how to navigate these evolving cost scenarios and maintain competitiveness to ensure future-proof investments.

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